Briefing Notes

Briefing Note 364 [February 2018]
Updated GNS Central New Zealand Earthquake Forecast

Briefing Note 363 [January 2018]
Flood Deaths in the Northern Territory

Briefing Note 362 [January 2018]
Hawaii False Alarm Hints at Thin Line Between Mishap and Nuclear War

Briefing Note 361 [January 2018]
The heat is on: but we’ve been there before

Briefing Note 360 [December 2017]
Scars left by Australia’s undersea landslides reveal future tsunami potential

Briefing Note 359 [December 2017]
Forecast of Increased Earthquakes due to Slowing of Earth’s Rotation

Briefing Note 358 [November 2017]
Changes in Earthquake Hazard Levels in the draft Geoscience Australia National Seismic Hazard Assessment (NSHA18)

Briefing Note 357 [November 2017]
The Mw 7.1 Puebla, Mexico Earthquake of 19 September 2017 – the anniversary of the Mw 8.0 Michoacan earthquake of 1985.

Briefing Note 356 [October 2017]
It doesn’t always take superstorms to get supersurges

Briefing Note 355 [October 2017]
Have we increased our vulnerability to big floods

Briefing Note 354 [September 2017]
Could Sydney be the next Houston?

Briefing Note 353 [September 2017]
Hurricane Irma Meteorological Information

Briefing Note 352 [July 2017]
Earth’s rotation affects the wide world of sports

Briefing Note 351 [July 2017]
Weather-related Natural Disasters: Should we be concerned about a reversion to the mean?

Briefing Note 350 [July 2017]
‘Astounding’: Shifting storms under climate change to worsen coastal perils

Briefing Note 349 [July 2017]
The country’s flood insurance program is sinking.  Rescuing it won’t be easy.

Briefing Note 348 [July 2017]
The Grenfell Tower fire of June 14 and the role of Composite Sandwich Panel Cladding

Briefing Note 347 [June 2017]
The Great Hawkesbury Flood turns 150 today

Briefing Note 346 [June 2017]
Floodplain manager skillsets are key to effectively growing community engagement practice in disaster resilience

Briefing Note 345 [June 2017]
A new way to detect tsunamis: cargo ships

Briefing Note 344 [May 2017]
Disaster Risk Management: Insights from US Experience

Briefing Note 343 [April 2017] 
When Rising Seas Transform Risk into Certainty

Briefing Note 342 [April 2017]
The 2017 Lismore Flood – Insights from the field

Briefing Note 341 [April 2017]
Damage overview of Severe Tropical Cyclone Debbie in North Queensland

Briefing Note 340 [April 2017]
Flood Risk Perceptions of Lismore Businesses

Briefing Note 339 [March 2017]
Twitter can predict hurricane damage as well as emergency agencies

Briefing Note 338 [February 2017]
Building evidence for risk-based insurance

Briefing Note 337 [January 2017]
Crowds are wise enough to know when other people will get it wrong

RF in the Spotlight

Australia’s ‘deadliest natural hazard’: What’s your heatwave plan?

This article by Andrew Gissing and Lucinda Coates was published on

“Heatwaves are Australia’s deadliest natural hazard, but a recent survey has found that many vulnerable people do not have plans to cope with extreme heat.

Working with the Bushfire and Natural Hazards Cooperative Research Centre and the Bureau of Meteorology, my colleagues and I surveyed 250 residents and 60 business managers in Western Sydney and the NSW North Coast.”

Click here to read more.

Andrew Gissing on The Project on Channel 10, 10 January, 2018


Andrew Gissing is interviewed by The Project team about recent heatwave conditions in Victoria and New South Wales – the inherent dangers of extreme heat and the importance of being aware of the risks to yourself and others.  Follow the link to watch the complete programme:

Risk Frontiers spins out of Macquarie University

For 23 years, Risk Frontiers has been at the cutting edge of catastrophe loss modelling, applying advances in technology and science to better assess the threats posed by some of the country’s most costly natural hazard events: cyclones, floods, bushfires, earthquakes and convective storms.

In addition to its suite of home-grown loss models, Risk Frontiers has also been at the forefront of efforts to understand the social dimensions of these risks in ways to help make communities more resilient. These risk themes will continue to motivate the organisation’s new R&D agenda.

click here to read entire article:

The June 2016 Australian East Coast Low: Importance of Wave Direction for Coastal Erosion Assessment

by Thomas R. Mortlock , Ian D. Goodwin, John K. McAneney and Kevin Roche

In June 2016, an unusual East Coast Low storm affected some 2000 km of the eastern seaboard of Australia bringing heavy rain, strong winds and powerful wave conditions. While wave heights offshore of Sydney were not exceptional, nearshore wave conditions were such that beaches experienced some of the worst erosion in 40 years.


Amri, A., Bird, D. K., Ronan, K., Haynes, K., and Towers, B.  Disaster risk reduction education in Indonesia: challenges  and recommendations for scaling up. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 595-612, doi:10.5194/nhess-17-595-2017, 2017.

Amri, A. (2015). Challenges in implementing disaster risk reduction education: Views from the frontline in Indonesia. Macquarie University Sydney.

Blong, R., Enright, N., Grasso, P., Preservation of thin tephra.  Journal of Applied Volcanology.

Blong, R., Kemp, J., Chen, K., Dating the Last Major Eruption of Long Island, Papua New Guinea: The Evidence From Dampier’s 1700 Voyage on the Roebuck.  Terrae Incognitae. The Journal of the Society for the History of Discoveries. Volume 48, 2016 – Issue 2.

 Bracs, M. A., Turner, I. L., Splinter, K. D., Short, A. D., & Mortlock, T. R. (2016). Synchronised patterns of erosion and deposition observed at two beaches. Marine Geology, 380, 196-204.

Country, B., Wright, S., Lloyd, K., Suchet-Pearson, S., Burarrwanga, L., Ganambarr, R., & Tofa, M. (2016). Meaningful tourist transformations with Country at Bawaka, North East Arnhem Land, northern Australia. Tourism Studies.


Newsletter Volume 17 Issue2

  • Weather-related natural disasters 2017: was this a reversion to the mean?
  • The Hawaii nuclear alert: how did people respond?
  • Risk Frontiers’ Multi-Peril Workbench 2.4 has now been released

Newsletter Volume 17 Issue1

  • A Natural Hazard Building Loss Profile for Australia: 1900-2015
  • Risk Frontiers’ Annual Seminar: A Provisional Programme
  • Weather-related Natural Disasters: Should we be concerned about a reversion to the mean?

Newsletter Volume 16 Issue 4

  • News Flash:  Risk Frontiers spins out from Macquarie University
  • Risk Frontiers’ Suite of CAT Models to be available on AIR Worldwide’s Touchstone Platform
  • Should governments allow fire affected communities to rebuild?

Newsletter Volume 16 Issue3

  • Better Managing New Zealand’s Earthquake Risks
  • Storm Direction Controls Coastal Erosion Risk in New South Wales

Newsletter Volume 16, Issue 2
December 2016