John is Managing Director of Risk Frontiers specialising in bushfire, flood, volcanic and seismic risk as well as decision-making and policy issues across a wide range of natural hazards. He has expertise in probabilistic modelling, quantitative risk assessment and cost benefit, and Real Options analyses.
Under his direction, Risk Frontiers has embraced assignments for clients as diverse as the Insurance Council of Australia, the Australian Building Codes Board, the NSW Office of Environment and Heritage, Infrastructure NSW, Geoscience Australia, Swiss and Munich Re and the Australian Reinsurance Pool Corporation.
John recently led a team that reviewed government-sponsored natural disaster insurance pools, looking particularly at their success or otherwise in reducing risks and encouraging mitigation. His observations after the 2003 Canberra bushfires led to Risk Frontiers adopting an experiential approach to modelling Australian bushfire losses in particular the decision to exploit its extensive PerilAUS database of historical losses. John was also one of the first scientists in the field in Sumatra and Sri Lanka after the 2004 Boxing Day tsunami where, sometimes masquerading as a BBC reporter, he was able to gain valuable access to impacted areas to document levels of damage.
John has a background in physics, soil science, weather risk and financial risk analysis. He has over 130-refereed publications on various aspects of weather risk, boundary layer physics and natural peril risks.
John also has French language skills and has published two books: Where Wine Flows like Water – A Gastronomic Pilgrimage through Spain (HarperCollins, 1997) and a crime novel, Shifting Sands. Find out more at johnmcaneney.com